TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the daily peak temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in 2026, using official government data. The outcome depends solely on how hot it gets that day, with different ranges defining various results.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix, Arizona on August 7, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the latest version of the Daily Climate Report for Phoenix, AZ via the provided URL. While preliminary readings from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and that reporting frequencies can vary between locations. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 109°F, 109-110°F, 111-112°F, 113-114°F, 115-116°F, or above 116°F. The market that matches the actual recorded temperature will resolve as Yes, with all others resolving as No.