TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$66,447

111° to 112°

 - Kalshi

111° to 112° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

111° to 112°

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,159
N/A
N/A
$11,021
Settled
Yes
kalshi

109° to 110°

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,274
N/A
N/A
$13,722
Settled
No
kalshi

113° to 114°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,931
N/A
N/A
$8,251
Settled
No
kalshi

108° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,781
N/A
N/A
$6,685
Settled
No
kalshi

115° to 116°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,979
N/A
N/A
$6,408
Settled
No
kalshi

117° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,322
N/A
N/A
$1,322
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the daily peak temperature in Phoenix on a specific date in 2026, using official government data. The outcome depends solely on how hot it gets that day, with different ranges defining various results.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix, Arizona on August 7, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must access the latest version of the Daily Climate Report for Phoenix, AZ via the provided URL. While preliminary readings from other services may offer guidance, only the NWS report determines resolution. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and that reporting frequencies can vary between locations. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 109°F, 109-110°F, 111-112°F, 113-114°F, 115-116°F, or above 116°F. The market that matches the actual recorded temperature will resolve as Yes, with all others resolving as No.