TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$108,786

105° to 106°

 - Kalshi

105° to 106° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

105° to 106°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,516
N/A
N/A
$13,806
Settled
Yes
kalshi

104° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,881
N/A
N/A
$20,629
Settled
No
kalshi

107° to 108°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,740
N/A
N/A
$14,483
Settled
No
kalshi

109° to 110°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,350
N/A
N/A
$4,031
Settled
No
kalshi

111° to 112°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,593
N/A
N/A
$1,638
Settled
No
kalshi

113° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$707
N/A
N/A
$707
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix, AZ on August 5, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version of the report for the date. While preliminary data from other services may be referenced for guidance, only the NWS report determines the outcome. Temperature ranges are categorized into six distinct bands: below 105°F, 105-106°F, 107-108°F, 109-110°F, 111-112°F, and above 112°F. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the recorded temperature falls within its specified range, with the '113° or above' market covering any temperature exceeding 112°F. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports are updated at varying frequencies across different locations.