TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 3:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports.
All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix, AZ on August 5, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). The National Weather Service's data is the definitive source, and traders must use the latest version of the report for the date. While preliminary data from other services may be referenced for guidance, only the NWS report determines the outcome. Temperature ranges are categorized into six distinct bands: below 105°F, 105-106°F, 107-108°F, 109-110°F, 111-112°F, and above 112°F. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the recorded temperature falls within its specified range, with the '113° or above' market covering any temperature exceeding 112°F. Traders should be aware that NWS data may include rounding and conversion nuances, and reports are updated at varying frequencies across different locations.