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Science and Technology
Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 4, 2026?

Volume:
$104,243

108° or below

 - Kalshi

108° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

108° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,655
N/A
N/A
$22,794
Settled
Yes
kalshi

109° to 110°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,178
N/A
N/A
$17,456
Settled
No
kalshi

111° to 112°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,030
N/A
N/A
$9,447
Settled
No
kalshi

113° to 114°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,518
N/A
N/A
$4,194
Settled
No
kalshi

115° to 116°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,965
N/A
N/A
$2,985
Settled
No
kalshi

117° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
$829
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the outcome.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the maximum temperature in Phoenix on August 4, 2026, falls within specific Fahrenheit ranges, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a distinct temperature range: below 109°F, 109–110°F, 111–112°F, 113–114°F, 115–116°F, or above 116°F. The resolving authority is the NWS report for Phoenix, AZ, accessed via the provided URL on the "Observed Weather" tab with the Daily Climate Report selected. Traders must use the latest published data for the date, recognizing that reporting frequencies may vary by location. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary guidance, only the NWS report serves as the binding, final authority. Participants should remain alert to potential rounding, conversion nuances, or revisions in preliminary NWS data, as these could affect market resolution.