TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 2, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 2, 2026?

Volume:
$80,613

115° to 116°

 - Kalshi

115° to 116° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

115° to 116°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,075
N/A
N/A
$12,462
Settled
Yes
kalshi

113° to 114°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,531
N/A
N/A
$12,973
Settled
No
kalshi

117° to 118°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,927
N/A
N/A
$10,557
Settled
No
kalshi

111° to 112°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,737
N/A
N/A
$11,945
Settled
No
kalshi

119° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,467
N/A
N/A
$2,003
Settled
No
kalshi

110° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,877
N/A
N/A
$1,863
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Phoenix on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess whether temperatures will fall within certain ranges based on verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix, Arizona on August 2, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome depends on which temperature range the actual measurement falls into: below 111°F, between 111-112°F, 113-114°F, 115-116°F, 117-118°F, or above 118°F. Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS data source provided, as preliminary or third-party weather reports may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting timing discrepancies. The latest available NWS report for the specified date will be used as the definitive record, with participants advised to account for potential delays in official data publication.