TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 14, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Phoenix on Aug 14, 2026?

Volume:
$241,522

101° to 102°

 - Kalshi

101° to 102° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 3:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

101° to 102°

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$69,283
N/A
N/A
$60,064
Settled
Yes
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$145,780
N/A
N/A
$140,611
Settled
No
kalshi

103° to 104°

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,155
N/A
N/A
$6,130
Settled
No
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,694
N/A
N/A
$7,060
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,834
N/A
N/A
$3,186
Settled
No
kalshi

105° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,777
N/A
N/A
$3,598
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in Phoenix on a specific date in the future, categorizing outcomes based on different temperature ranges. It provides a structured way to assess extreme heat conditions for that day using a single authoritative weather source.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the maximum temperature recorded in Phoenix on August 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market resolution condition. If the temperature falls within any of these ranges — from 96°F or below, through incremental bands up to 104°F, and finally above 104°F — the associated market resolves to Yes. All participants must refer exclusively to The Weather Company's official data for verification, accessible via the provided URL and navigation steps. While other weather services may offer similar data, they are not considered authoritative for resolution purposes. The final temperature value used for determination will be the latest available report from The Weather Company for Phoenix, AZ, on the specified date, accounting for potential variations in update frequencies across different locations.