TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
The daytime high temperature at Philadelphia International Airport on June 8, 2026 will be recorded by the National Weather Service's daily climatological report. This event tracks the maximum temperature across various ranges.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the highest temperature in Philadelphia on June 8 is priced through binary or range-based contracts that allow traders to buy or sell exposure to specific temperature thresholds. Each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. Prices move based on order flow, new information, and shifts in trader sentiment as June 8, 2026 approaches. The platform's matching engine continuously updates prices to reflect supply and demand for each temperature outcome.
The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after June 8, 2026 concludes and the official highest temperature for Philadelphia is recorded. Resolution is determined by verified temperature data from an authoritative weather source, ensuring that the outcome reflects the actual peak heat observed in Philadelphia that day. Once the data is confirmed and the market settles, traders' positions are finalized based on whether their prediction matched the recorded high temperature.
Several factors could shift market odds for Philadelphia's June 8 high temperature. Updated seasonal forecasts and long-range weather models may signal stronger or weaker heat patterns. Major weather systems, jet stream positioning, and atmospheric pressure anomalies tracked in the weeks leading up to June 8 will influence trader expectations. Additionally, broader climate patterns, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and historical temperature records for that date could prompt repricing. Real-time forecast updates from meteorologists in early June will likely drive the most significant market movements.