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Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Jun 8, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Jun 8, 2026?

Volume:
$36,436

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,279
N/A
N/A
$5,589
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,954
N/A
N/A
$9,727
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,497
N/A
N/A
$3,912
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,580
N/A
N/A
$1,851
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,125
N/A
N/A
$1,692
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,002
N/A
N/A
$957
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The daytime high temperature at Philadelphia International Airport on June 8, 2026 will be recorded by the National Weather Service's daily climatological report. This event tracks the maximum temperature across various ranges.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge from traditional weather forecasts issued by meteorologists and the National Weather Service. While analysts rely on atmospheric models and historical climate data, prediction markets incorporate real-time information, trader conviction, and financial incentives. Comparing market-implied probabilities to official forecasts can reveal whether traders are pricing in more extreme heat, greater uncertainty, or different confidence levels than institutional weather models suggest for Philadelphia on June 8, 2026.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the highest temperature in Philadelphia on June 8 is priced through binary or range-based contracts that allow traders to buy or sell exposure to specific temperature thresholds. Each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. Prices move based on order flow, new information, and shifts in trader sentiment as June 8, 2026 approaches. The platform's matching engine continuously updates prices to reflect supply and demand for each temperature outcome.

The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after June 8, 2026 concludes and the official highest temperature for Philadelphia is recorded. Resolution is determined by verified temperature data from an authoritative weather source, ensuring that the outcome reflects the actual peak heat observed in Philadelphia that day. Once the data is confirmed and the market settles, traders' positions are finalized based on whether their prediction matched the recorded high temperature.

Several factors could shift market odds for Philadelphia's June 8 high temperature. Updated seasonal forecasts and long-range weather models may signal stronger or weaker heat patterns. Major weather systems, jet stream positioning, and atmospheric pressure anomalies tracked in the weeks leading up to June 8 will influence trader expectations. Additionally, broader climate patterns, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and historical temperature records for that date could prompt repricing. Real-time forecast updates from meteorologists in early June will likely drive the most significant market movements.