TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$62,269

84° to 85°

 - Kalshi

84° to 85° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,850
N/A
N/A
$10,057
Settled
Yes
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,757
N/A
N/A
$8,350
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,488
N/A
N/A
$5,024
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,499
N/A
N/A
$4,909
Settled
No
kalshi

90° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,510
N/A
N/A
$3,190
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,165
N/A
N/A
$1,738
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Philadelphia on a specific summer day in 2026, using official government data. It categorizes possible temperature outcomes into distinct ranges, each representing a different market outcome based on recorded measurements.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport on August 5, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome: 81° or below, 82-83°, 84-85°, 86-87°, 88-89°, and 90° or above. The official NWS report is the sole source for determining the resolving temperature, and traders must recognize that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion nuances that could affect interpretations before the final report is published.