TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$64,664

88° or above

 - Kalshi

88° or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,354
N/A
N/A
$11,917
Settled
Yes
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,793
N/A
N/A
$9,270
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,478
N/A
N/A
$10,289
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,600
N/A
N/A
$3,831
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,194
N/A
N/A
$2,154
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,245
N/A
N/A
$1,245
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Philadelphia on a specific summer day in 2026, using official government data as the definitive source. It divides possible temperature outcomes into distinct ranges, each representing a different market resolution condition.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded at Philadelphia International Airport on August 3, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within a specific range, that associated market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. The NWS report serves as the exclusive, binding authority for temperature verification, with traders advised to recognize that preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion nuances that could affect final classification. Consistency across all markets depends entirely on this single authoritative source, eliminating discrepancies from alternative weather services.