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Highest temperature in Paris on June 2?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Paris on June 2?

Volume:
$250,788

22°C

 - Polymarket

22°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

22°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$33,946
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,771
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,416
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-time consensus from traders betting on Paris temperature outcomes, while traditional analyst forecasts rely on meteorological models and historical climate data. Markets often incorporate broader information sets and update faster than static forecasts. Comparing Polymarket odds to published weather forecasts from services like Météo-France can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than official predictions, highlighting areas of market divergence from expert consensus.

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, after the highest temperature in Paris on June 2 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from recognized meteorological authorities. The outcome is determined by which temperature range or threshold the actual recorded high falls into, as specified in the market's outcome criteria. Once the event occurs and data is confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems over Europe can significantly move odds. Updated meteorological models released in the days before June 2 will influence trader expectations. Heat waves or cold fronts affecting Western Europe, changes in solar activity predictions, and real-time temperature trends in late May serve as key signals. Breaking weather alerts, climate anomalies, or shifts in jet stream positioning could trigger rapid repricing as traders adjust their temperature expectations for Paris on that specific day.