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Highest temperature in Panama City on June 9?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Panama City on June 9?

Volume:
$29,482

30°C

 - Polymarket

30°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

30°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,996
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$399
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$378
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Odds & Prediction Markets dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on June 9, 2026. The dashboard displays current implied probability of each temperature outcome, 24-hour trading volume of $21,968, and cumulative group volume of $29,482. You can monitor how market participants are pricing different temperature ranges as the event date approaches, and review price history to identify trends in trader sentiment and conviction.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader expectations and can be compared against meteorological forecasts and climate models from organizations like NOAA or the Panama Meteorological Institute. Prediction markets often incorporate real-time information and trader expertise, while analyst forecasts rely on historical climate data and seasonal patterns. Divergences between market odds and official forecasts may signal either market inefficiency or emerging weather signals not yet reflected in traditional models. Tracking both sources provides a fuller picture of temperature expectations.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Panama City on June 9 is priced as a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific temperature range or threshold. Traders buy and sell shares in each outcome, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. The price of each contract moves based on order flow, new information, and changing expectations about June weather patterns in Panama City. Higher prices indicate stronger market confidence in that outcome occurring.

The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after the highest temperature in Panama City on June 9 has been recorded and verified. Resolution is determined by official temperature data from a designated meteorological source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. The winning outcome is the one that matches the actual highest temperature recorded on that date. All other outcomes resolve to zero value, and traders holding winning shares receive their payout.

Several factors could shift market odds for Panama City's June 9 high temperature. Seasonal weather pattern updates, El Niño or La Niña developments, and tropical system forecasts can alter expectations. Real-time meteorological data releases, including atmospheric pressure and ocean temperature anomalies, typically move the market as June approaches. Historical climate records and anomalies for that date also inform trader positioning. Major weather events or model consensus shifts in the weeks leading up to June 9 will likely drive significant price movement.