TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Panama City on June 7?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Panama City on June 7?

Volume:
$27,880

28°C

 - Polymarket

28°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

28°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

26°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,460
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,847
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,740
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,290
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$487
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-time consensus from traders betting on Panama City's highest temperature on June 7, while traditional analyst forecasts come from meteorological models and climate specialists. Markets often incorporate broader information faster than static forecasts, though both sources have strengths. Comparing the market's implied probability to official weather service predictions and seasonal climate models can reveal where traders see upside or downside risk relative to expert consensus on that date.

Temperature expectations for Panama City on June 7 could shift based on updated seasonal weather forecasts, atmospheric pressure patterns, ocean temperature anomalies, and tropical weather systems. Real-time meteorological updates from weather services may reveal developing weather patterns that traders incorporate into pricing. Additionally, historical climate data releases or revisions to long-range forecasts could influence market sentiment about whether Panama City will experience above or below-average heat on that date.