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Highest temperature in Panama City on June 25?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Panama City on June 25?

Volume:
$29,452

32°C

 - Polymarket

32°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

32°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,616
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

26°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,804
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,201
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,990
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Panama City temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Panama City on June 25. Traders buy and sell shares based on their predictions, with the current odds reflecting the collective expectation of market participants. The dashboard displays live price movements, 24-hour volume of $15,007, and cumulative liquidity across all positions. This market has attracted $29,452 in total trading activity, making it a liquid venue for weather-related price discovery.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts because they incorporate real-time trader sentiment and broader information flows beyond raw weather models. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric data and historical patterns, this market reflects what informed traders believe will occur, sometimes pricing in uncertainty or tail risks that standard forecasts downplay. Comparing the implied probability from market odds to published analyst predictions can reveal where consensus differs or where traders see value. Both sources offer complementary perspectives on the likely outcome.

This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, once the event date has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Panama City can be verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources that document the actual temperature reading. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once resolution is finalized. The binary structure means only one outcome will be correct, and all positions settle accordingly.

Weather forecasts updated by meteorological agencies can shift market odds significantly as new atmospheric data becomes available. Seasonal climate patterns, ocean temperature anomalies, and historical June weather trends in Panama City may influence trader positioning. Real-time weather alerts or tropical system developments could trigger sharp repricing. As the event date approaches, convergence toward the actual temperature becomes more likely, narrowing the range of plausible outcomes and reducing uncertainty in the market.