TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Panama City on June 2?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Panama City on June 2?

Volume:
$8,658

31°C or higher

 - Polymarket

31°C or higher - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

31°C or higher

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

30°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,906
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$291
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Panama City on June 2 on Polymarket. It displays the current implied probability of each temperature outcome, 24-hour trading volume of $3,557, and historical price movements. Users can monitor how market participants are pricing different temperature ranges as the event date approaches, providing a live snapshot of crowd expectations for peak heat in Panama City that day.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Panama City's peak temperature on June 2, whereas traditional analyst forecasts come from meteorological models and expert analysis. Markets often incorporate broader information faster than static forecasts, though both sources have distinct strengths. Comparing market-implied probabilities to official weather service predictions and seasonal climate models can reveal where traders see divergence from conventional expectations for that date.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Panama City on June 2 is priced through a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific temperature range or threshold. Traders buy and sell shares in outcomes they believe will occur, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. As new weather data, seasonal patterns, and climate signals emerge, prices adjust continuously, allowing participants to trade based on their conviction about how hot Panama City will be on that date.

Temperature expectations for Panama City on June 2 can shift based on seasonal weather pattern updates, tropical system forecasts, ocean temperature anomalies, and atmospheric pressure trends. Real-time meteorological model runs in the days leading up to June 2 will refine predictions significantly. Additionally, historical climate data for early June in Panama City and any unusual weather systems developing in the Caribbean region could influence trader positioning and market odds as the event date approaches.