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Highest temperature in Panama City on June 11?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Panama City on June 11?

Volume:
$20,160

32°C

 - Polymarket

32°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

32°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

36°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,009
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,521
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$765
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature outcome in Panama City on June 11 on Polymarket. It displays the current implied probability of each temperature outcome, 24-hour trading volume of $13,906, and historical price movements. Users can monitor how market participants are pricing different temperature scenarios as the event date approaches, providing a live snapshot of crowd expectations for peak heat in Panama City on that specific day.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets from traders and can be compared against meteorological forecasts from agencies like the National Meteorological Authority of Panama or international weather models. Markets often incorporate analyst predictions but may diverge based on trader sentiment, historical volatility, and late-breaking weather data. Comparing market-implied probabilities to official forecasts helps identify whether traders are pricing in more or less extreme heat than meteorologists expect for June 11 in Panama City.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature outcome for Panama City on June 11 is priced as a set of binary or range-based contracts, each representing a specific temperature threshold or band. Traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in whether the actual high will fall within that range. The price of each contract directly represents the market's implied probability; higher prices indicate stronger consensus that a particular temperature outcome will occur. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions.

The market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, after the highest temperature for Panama City on June 11 has been recorded and verified. The outcome is determined by the official maximum temperature reading for that calendar day in Panama City, sourced from a designated meteorological authority or data provider specified in the market terms. Once the final temperature is confirmed, the contract settles and traders' positions are paid out according to which outcome bracket or threshold the actual temperature matched.

Weather pattern shifts, including changes to atmospheric pressure systems, tropical storm activity, or monsoon onset timing, can significantly alter temperature expectations for Panama City on June 11. Updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies, historical climate data releases, and real-time atmospheric models published closer to the date will influence trader positioning. Additionally, any unusual weather events or climate anomalies in the weeks leading up to June 11 may prompt market repricing as traders adjust their probability estimates based on evolving conditions.