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Highest temperature in Panama City on July 8?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Panama City on July 8?

Volume:
$50,056

35°C

 - Polymarket

35°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

35°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,065
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,744
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,692
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Panama City temperature market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for contracts tied to the highest temperature forecast in Panama City on July 8. The interface displays current implied probabilities, allowing traders to monitor how market sentiment shifts as new weather data emerges. You can view order book depth, recent trades, and liquidity metrics to understand market activity and positioning around this specific weather outcome.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations and often incorporate real-time meteorological updates faster than traditional forecasts. While weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical patterns, this market prices in collective trader conviction about whether the highest temperature will reach a specific threshold. Comparing the implied probability here to published forecasts from national weather services can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimism or caution than official predictions suggest.

This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the actual highest temperature recorded in Panama City on that date becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the recorded high temperature against the threshold specified in the contract. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the market end time, once official weather data is published and confirmed.

Major weather pattern shifts, tropical storm or hurricane activity in the Caribbean, and updated seasonal forecasts from meteorological agencies can all drive significant price movements. Real-time atmospheric pressure changes, sea surface temperature anomalies, and shifts in trade wind patterns may prompt traders to adjust positions. Additionally, historical temperature records for early July in Panama City and any unusual climate events in the region could influence how traders assess the likelihood of extreme heat on that specific date.