TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Kalshi:

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Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on May 30, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Oklahoma City on May 30, 2026?

Volume:
$24,072

92° to 93°

 - Kalshi

92° to 93° - Kalshi

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

92° to 93°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,122
N/A
N/A
$4,372
Settled
Yes
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,544
N/A
N/A
$3,406
Settled
No
kalshi

89° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,226
N/A
N/A
$2,966
Settled
No
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,283
N/A
N/A
$1,751
Settled
No
kalshi

96° to 97°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,861
N/A
N/A
$1,761
Settled
No
kalshi

98° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,035
N/A
N/A
$1,452
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The maximum temperature in Oklahoma City on May 30, 2026, will be recorded by the National Weather Service.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader expectations and often incorporate the latest meteorological models and seasonal climate data. Analyst forecasts from the National Weather Service and private weather firms typically converge around similar temperature ranges, but prediction markets may price in tail risks or consensus shifts faster than traditional forecasts update. Comparing Kalshi odds to published NWS outlooks and seasonal temperature normals for Oklahoma City in late May can reveal whether traders are pricing warmer or cooler conditions than official guidance. Both sources inform each other as the event date nears.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the highest temperature in Oklahoma City on May 30, 2026, is priced as a set of binary or range-based contracts, each representing a specific temperature threshold or band. Traders buy or sell shares reflecting their belief that the actual high will fall within or exceed that range. Prices move between 0 and 100 cents per share, with the implied probability derived from the current market price. As new weather data, seasonal patterns, and climate signals emerge, contract prices adjust to reflect updated trader conviction about where the May 30 high will settle.

The market resolves on May 31, 2026, after the highest temperature in Oklahoma City on May 30, 2026, has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on the official temperature reading from the National Weather Service station or designated weather authority serving Oklahoma City. Once the day's high is confirmed, the contract outcomes are determined and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning shares. Traders should monitor weather station data and official NWS reports on May 30 and 31 to track the final outcome before market settlement closes.

Key signals include updated seasonal climate outlooks, long-range weather models, and historical May temperature patterns for Oklahoma City. Major weather systems, jet stream positioning, and soil moisture anomalies in the weeks before May 30 can shift trader expectations. El Niño or La Niña conditions, if active, may influence regional temperature tendencies. Real-time forecast updates from the National Weather Service in the days immediately before May 30 typically drive sharp price moves as the event nears. Traders also monitor broader climate trends and any unusual atmospheric patterns that could push temperatures above or below the May 30 normal high of around 82–85°F.