TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 31, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 31, 2026?

Volume:
$135,741

84° to 85°

 - Kalshi

84° to 85° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,791
N/A
N/A
$19,133
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,577
N/A
N/A
$34,892
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35,819
N/A
N/A
$23,385
Settled
No
kalshi

88° to 89°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,163
N/A
N/A
$5,461
Settled
No
kalshi

81° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,545
N/A
N/A
$5,064
Settled
No
kalshi

90° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,846
N/A
N/A
$1,826
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York City, on July 31, 2026. The outcome depends on the exact temperature range achieved, with different ranges resulting in different resolutions. The National Weather Service's official report serves as the definitive source for determining the result.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York City, on July 31, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature falls within the range of 81°F or below, the market resolves to Yes for that outcome. Similarly, ranges of 82–83°F, 84–85°F, 86–87°F, and 88–89°F each have their own Yes resolution. For temperatures above 89°F, the relevant market also resolves to Yes. In all cases, the National Weather Service's report is the sole authority for determining the official temperature, and traders should be aware that preliminary data may undergo revisions due to rounding or conversion nuances. No other weather data sources are considered official for this purpose.