TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York City, on July 31, 2026. The outcome depends on the exact temperature range achieved, with different ranges resulting in different resolutions. The National Weather Service's official report serves as the definitive source for determining the result.
The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York City, on July 31, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature falls within the range of 81°F or below, the market resolves to Yes for that outcome. Similarly, ranges of 82–83°F, 84–85°F, 86–87°F, and 88–89°F each have their own Yes resolution. For temperatures above 89°F, the relevant market also resolves to Yes. In all cases, the National Weather Service's report is the sole authority for determining the official temperature, and traders should be aware that preliminary data may undergo revisions due to rounding or conversion nuances. No other weather data sources are considered official for this purpose.