TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 28, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 28, 2026?

Volume:
$228,970

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$58,892
N/A
N/A
$28,577
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$67,340
N/A
N/A
$40,889
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,957
N/A
N/A
$25,120
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,734
N/A
N/A
$21,007
Settled
No
kalshi

76° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,872
N/A
N/A
$15,364
Settled
No
kalshi

85° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,176
N/A
N/A
$11,955
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the actual peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific future date, using official government data as the sole source of truth. It helps participants assess climate expectations and historical trends for that exact day, with outcomes determined solely by the National Weather Service's official report.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on July 28, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 77°F, 77-78°F, 79-80°F, 81-82°F, 83-84°F, or above 84°F. The market matching the actual reported temperature range will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. While preliminary or third-party weather data may be used for reference, only the NWS Climatological Report serves as the binding authority. Traders must recognize that NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances in preliminary reports, and final resolution depends entirely on the official daily report published after the event date.