TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the actual peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific future date, using official government data. It helps participants assess climate expectations and historical trends for that exact day. Outcomes are determined solely by the National Weather Service's official report for July 25, 2026.
All markets in this event resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on July 25, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these specified ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The NWS report serves as the definitive and binding source for all determinations, overriding any other weather data sources or preliminary reports. Traders must recognize that preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, and only the final official report should be used for resolution purposes. Each market’s Yes outcome is triggered exclusively by its defined temperature range, with clear boundaries separating each category to ensure unambiguous resolution.