TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 25, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 25, 2026?

Volume:
$121,174

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,190
N/A
N/A
$18,188
Settled
Yes
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,476
N/A
N/A
$19,984
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,176
N/A
N/A
$22,460
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,919
N/A
N/A
$8,985
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,657
N/A
N/A
$3,600
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,757
N/A
N/A
$2,213
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the actual peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific future date, using official government data. It helps participants assess climate expectations and historical trends for that exact day. Outcomes are determined solely by the National Weather Service's official report for July 25, 2026.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on July 25, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market outcome. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these specified ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The NWS report serves as the definitive and binding source for all determinations, overriding any other weather data sources or preliminary reports. Traders must recognize that preliminary NWS data may contain rounding or conversion nuances, and only the final official report should be used for resolution purposes. Each market’s Yes outcome is triggered exclusively by its defined temperature range, with clear boundaries separating each category to ensure unambiguous resolution.