TOTAL VOLUME:

$97.5b

24H VOL:

$262,573,226

24H TRANSACTIONS:

951,878,243

OPEN INTEREST:

$2,187,805,448

831,787

Markets across

15,132

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

964

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

45%

VS.

Kalshi:

55%

BETA
Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 15, 2026?

Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 15, 2026?

Volume:
$189,489
PredictionHero
96° or below 99%
kalshi
97° to 98° 1%
kalshi
99° to 100° 1%
kalshi
Jul 14, 02:00 PMJul 14, 05:00 PMJul 14, 09:00 PMJul 15, 01:00 AMJul 15, 05:00 AMJul 15, 09:00 AMJul 15, 01:00 PMJul 15, 05:00 PMJul 15, 09:00 PMJul 1…020406080100

Closed: Jul 16, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on July 15, 2026. The resolution uses the official National Weather Service Climatological Report (Daily) as the authoritative source, with temperature ranges spanning from 96°F or below up to 105°F or above.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on July 15, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The temperature reading is divided into six distinct ranges: below 97°F, 97-98°F, 99-100°F, 101-102°F, 103-104°F, and above 104°F. Each range corresponds to a specific market outcome that resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that bracket. The NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the sole authoritative source for resolution; preliminary NWS data and alternative weather services such as AccuWeather or Google Weather may be consulted for guidance but are not binding. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may involve rounding and conversion nuances that could affect final determination.

Follow the signals, not the noise

Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.

PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.20.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.