TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 15, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Jul 15, 2026?

Volume:
$189,489

96° or below

 - Kalshi

96° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

96° or below

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$74,277
N/A
N/A
$34,400
Settled
Yes
kalshi

97° to 98°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,906
N/A
N/A
$25,855
Settled
No
kalshi

99° to 100°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36,302
N/A
N/A
$26,850
Settled
No
kalshi

101° to 102°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,347
N/A
N/A
$17,376
Settled
No
kalshi

105° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,900
N/A
N/A
$6,320
Settled
No
kalshi

103° to 104°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,758
N/A
N/A
$3,984
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on July 15, 2026. The resolution uses the official National Weather Service Climatological Report (Daily) as the authoritative source, with temperature ranges spanning from 96°F or below up to 105°F or above.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on July 15, 2026, as reported in the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The temperature reading is divided into six distinct ranges: below 97°F, 97-98°F, 99-100°F, 101-102°F, 103-104°F, and above 104°F. Each range corresponds to a specific market outcome that resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within that bracket. The NWS Climatological Report (Daily) serves as the sole authoritative source for resolution; preliminary NWS data and alternative weather services such as AccuWeather or Google Weather may be consulted for guidance but are not binding. Traders should be aware that preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may involve rounding and conversion nuances that could affect final determination.