TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 9, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 9, 2026?

Volume:
$171,856

89° or below

 - Kalshi

89° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

89° or below

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$62,283
N/A
N/A
$24,802
Settled
Yes
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,776
N/A
N/A
$27,154
Settled
No
kalshi

92° to 93°

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,327
N/A
N/A
$26,183
Settled
No
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,855
N/A
N/A
$9,622
Settled
No
kalshi

96° to 97°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,352
N/A
N/A
$2,349
Settled
No
kalshi

98° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,264
N/A
N/A
$1,250
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in New York City on a specific summer day, using official government data as the definitive source. Participants assess whether conditions will reach certain temperature thresholds based on reliable meteorological reporting.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York, on August 09, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 89° or below, 90-91°, 92-93°, 94-95°, 96-97°, and 98° or above. The market resolves to Yes if the recorded temperature falls within the specified range for that market. All outcomes rely exclusively on the NWS report, with secondary notes cautioning traders about potential discrepancies in preliminary or third-party data sources due to rounding or conversion nuances. Traders must use the linked NWS report as the final authority for resolution.