TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on how hot it gets, with different ranges defining various results. Official data comes from the National Weather Service to ensure accuracy.
The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York, on August 8, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the temperature falls within the specified range for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the definitive record. Traders must recognize that preliminary data may undergo revisions, and only the final NWS report should be used for resolution. The secondary rules emphasize the importance of relying exclusively on the NWS data, cautioning against relying on third-party weather services which may differ due to rounding or conversion differences.