TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 8, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 8, 2026?

Volume:
$157,492

88° or below

 - Kalshi

88° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° or below

View
100%
70%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63,778
N/A
N/A
$29,994
Settled
Yes
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,391
N/A
N/A
$35,583
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,394
N/A
N/A
$16,893
Settled
No
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,979
N/A
N/A
$1,599
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,558
N/A
N/A
$1,558
Settled
No
kalshi

97° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,393
N/A
N/A
$1,287
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on how hot it gets, with different ranges defining various results. Official data comes from the National Weather Service to ensure accuracy.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York, on August 8, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market outcome. If the temperature falls within the specified range for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the NWS report serving as the definitive record. Traders must recognize that preliminary data may undergo revisions, and only the final NWS report should be used for resolution. The secondary rules emphasize the importance of relying exclusively on the NWS data, cautioning against relying on third-party weather services which may differ due to rounding or conversion differences.