TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York City on August 7, 2026. The outcome depends on how hot it gets that day, with different temperature ranges determining the result. Official data comes from the National Weather Service to ensure accuracy.
The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York City on August 7, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market resolution. If the temperature falls within the range of 88°F or below, the market resolves to Yes for that outcome. Similarly, ranges from 89-90°F, 91-92°F, 93-94°F, and 95-96°F each have their own Yes resolution. For any temperature above 96°F, the respective market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same secondary rule, emphasizing that while preliminary or third-party weather data may be used for reference, the official and final determination will exclusively use the NWS Climatological Report. Traders are advised to be cautious with preliminary data due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies that could affect market outcomes.