TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 7, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 7, 2026?

Volume:
$213,796

91° to 92°

 - Kalshi

91° to 92° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

91° to 92°

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$64,231
N/A
N/A
$23,487
Settled
Yes
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,770
N/A
N/A
$32,310
Settled
No
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,408
N/A
N/A
$31,479
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or below

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,174
N/A
N/A
$26,910
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,476
N/A
N/A
$13,433
Settled
No
kalshi

97° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,736
N/A
N/A
$1,636
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York City on August 7, 2026. The outcome depends on how hot it gets that day, with different temperature ranges determining the result. Official data comes from the National Weather Service to ensure accuracy.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York City on August 7, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market resolution. If the temperature falls within the range of 88°F or below, the market resolves to Yes for that outcome. Similarly, ranges from 89-90°F, 91-92°F, 93-94°F, and 95-96°F each have their own Yes resolution. For any temperature above 96°F, the respective market resolves to Yes. All markets share the same secondary rule, emphasizing that while preliminary or third-party weather data may be used for reference, the official and final determination will exclusively use the NWS Climatological Report. Traders are advised to be cautious with preliminary data due to potential rounding or conversion discrepancies that could affect market outcomes.