TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 6, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 6, 2026?

Volume:
$199,380

88° to 89°

 - Kalshi

88° to 89° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° to 89°

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$59,614
N/A
N/A
$32,068
Settled
Yes
kalshi

87° or below

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,005
N/A
N/A
$39,656
Settled
No
kalshi

90° to 91°

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,856
N/A
N/A
$33,282
Settled
No
kalshi

92° to 93°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,802
N/A
N/A
$14,067
Settled
No
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,787
N/A
N/A
$3,507
Settled
No
kalshi

96° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,315
N/A
N/A
$1,310
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends solely on official National Weather Service data, ensuring consistency and reliability for all participants.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York, on August 6, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), falls within one of six defined temperature ranges. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature band: 87° or below, 88-89°, 90-91°, 92-93°, 94-95°, or 96° and above. The market resolves to Yes for the respective temperature range if the recorded high temperature matches that range. All markets share identical secondary rules emphasizing that the NWS Climatological Report is the definitive source, cautioning traders about potential discrepancies in preliminary or third-party data due to rounding or conversion nuances. No other weather data sources are considered official for resolution purposes.