TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 5, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 5, 2026?

Volume:
$165,263

82° to 83°

 - Kalshi

82° to 83° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 6, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$37,282
N/A
N/A
$20,436
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,005
N/A
N/A
$24,637
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,814
N/A
N/A
$24,407
Settled
No
kalshi

79° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,316
N/A
N/A
$24,907
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,405
N/A
N/A
$7,854
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,441
N/A
N/A
$2,962
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the actual peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends entirely on official government weather records, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Participants assess probabilities based on historical climate patterns and seasonal forecasts.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on August 5, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market covers a distinct temperature range: 79° or below, 80-81°, 82-83°, 84-85°, 86-87°, and 88° or above. The market corresponding to the actual temperature range achieved will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report for resolution, as preliminary or third-party data sources may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting methodologies. Caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data, since only the final NWS record determines the outcome.