TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the actual peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends entirely on official government weather records, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Participants assess probabilities based on historical climate patterns and seasonal forecasts.
All markets resolve based solely on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on August 5, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market covers a distinct temperature range: 79° or below, 80-81°, 82-83°, 84-85°, 86-87°, and 88° or above. The market corresponding to the actual temperature range achieved will resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. Traders must rely exclusively on the NWS report for resolution, as preliminary or third-party data sources may differ due to rounding, conversion, or reporting methodologies. Caution is advised when interpreting early or unofficial data, since only the final NWS record determines the outcome.