Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 4, 2026?

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York, on August 4, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market resolution. If the temperature falls within the range of 80°F or below, the market labeled '80° or below' resolves to Yes. Similarly, ranges from 81-82°F, 83-84°F, 85-86°F, and 87-88°F each have their respective markets resolving to Yes if the temperature falls within those bounds. For any temperature above 88°F, the market labeled '89° or above' resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive, meaning only one can resolve to Yes based on the actual temperature recorded. It is crucial to rely solely on the NWS Climatological Report for the official temperature, as preliminary or third-party data may vary due to rounding or conversion differences. Traders should be cautious when interpreting early data and await the official NWS report for confirmation.