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Science and Technology
Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 3, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 3, 2026?

Volume:
$322,053

80° to 81°

 - Kalshi

80° to 81° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

80° to 81°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$76,606
N/A
N/A
$30,000
Settled
Yes
kalshi

79° or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$121,398
N/A
N/A
$47,205
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68,877
N/A
N/A
$34,948
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,894
N/A
N/A
$34,835
Settled
No
kalshi

88° or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,256
N/A
N/A
$3,250
Settled
No
kalshi

86° to 87°

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,022
N/A
N/A
$2,920
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on how hot it gets, with different ranges defining various results. Official data comes from the National Weather Service to ensure accuracy and consistency.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York, on August 3, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market resolution. If the temperature falls within the range of 79°F or below, the '79° or below' market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 80°F and 81°F, the '80° to 81°' market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for the ranges of 82°F to 83°F, 84°F to 85°F, and 86°F to 87°F. For any temperature above 87°F, the '88° or above' market resolves to Yes. All markets are mutually exclusive, meaning only one will resolve to Yes based on the actual recorded temperature. Traders must rely solely on the official NWS report for the final determination, as preliminary or third-party data may vary due to rounding, conversion, or reporting differences. Caution is advised when interpreting early data, as official figures may be adjusted after the reporting period.