TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the actual peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific future date, using authoritative government data. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends, seasonal patterns, and long-range forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature recording from the National Weather Service.
All markets resolve based exclusively on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on August 13, 2026, as documented in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 85°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, or above 92°F. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve as 'Yes,' with all others resolving as 'No.' While preliminary or third-party weather data may offer guidance, only the NWS report serves as the definitive source. Traders must recognize that NWS data processing may involve rounding and conversion nuances, necessitating careful interpretation of both preliminary reports and final publications.