TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 13, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 13, 2026?

Volume:
$212,809

85° to 86°

 - Kalshi

85° to 86° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

85° to 86°

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,475
N/A
N/A
$23,202
Settled
Yes
kalshi

84° or below

0%
63%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81,216
N/A
N/A
$38,626
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,431
N/A
N/A
$54,409
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,585
N/A
N/A
$5,585
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,129
N/A
N/A
$2,039
Settled
No
kalshi

93° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$973
N/A
N/A
$972
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the actual peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific future date, using authoritative government data. Participants assess probable weather conditions based on historical trends, seasonal patterns, and long-range forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature recording from the National Weather Service.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York on August 13, 2026, as documented in the National Weather Service's official Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 85°F, 85-86°F, 87-88°F, 89-90°F, 91-92°F, or above 92°F. The market associated with the actual recorded temperature range will resolve as 'Yes,' with all others resolving as 'No.' While preliminary or third-party weather data may offer guidance, only the NWS report serves as the definitive source. Traders must recognize that NWS data processing may involve rounding and conversion nuances, necessitating careful interpretation of both preliminary reports and final publications.