TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 12, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 12, 2026?

Volume:
$193,655

83° to 84°

 - Kalshi

83° to 84° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

83° to 84°

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,166
N/A
N/A
$23,557
Settled
Yes
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,461
N/A
N/A
$19,205
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,104
N/A
N/A
$23,775
Settled
No
kalshi

82° or below

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,530
N/A
N/A
$25,526
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,110
N/A
N/A
$15,811
Settled
No
kalshi

91° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,284
N/A
N/A
$4,195
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York, on August 12, 2026. The outcome depends on the exact temperature range reached that day, with different ranges corresponding to different results. Official data comes from the National Weather Service's Climatological Report for that date.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York, on August 12, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature is 82°F or below, the first market resolves to Yes. If it falls between 83°F and 84°F, the second market resolves to Yes, and this pattern continues for temperature ranges of 85°F–86°F, 87°F–88°F, and 89°F–90°F. For any temperature above 90°F, the final market resolves to Yes. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authority for determining the outcome, and traders should be aware that preliminary data from other sources may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances. All markets are mutually exclusive, with only one resolving to Yes based on the actual recorded temperature.