TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the actual peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges occurring based on climate patterns and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the National Weather Service's official report for that day.
The event determines whether the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York, on August 11, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), falls within one of six defined temperature ranges. Each market corresponds to a specific range: less than 89°F, between 89°F and 90°F, between 91°F and 92°F, between 93°F and 94°F, between 95°F and 96°F, or greater than 96°F. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authority for resolving the event, and traders must recognize that preliminary data may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances. All markets share identical secondary rules emphasizing reliance on the official NWS report and caution regarding preliminary interpretations.