TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 11, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in NYC on Aug 11, 2026?

Volume:
$41,626

88° or below

 - Kalshi

88° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

88° or below

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,381
N/A
N/A
$11,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,353
N/A
N/A
$9,660
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,437
N/A
N/A
$3,686
Settled
No
kalshi

93° to 94°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,004
N/A
N/A
$2,004
Settled
No
kalshi

95° to 96°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,938
N/A
N/A
$1,938
Settled
No
kalshi

97° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,513
N/A
N/A
$1,501
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the actual peak temperature in New York City's Central Park on a specific future date, using official government data. Participants assess the likelihood of different temperature ranges occurring based on climate patterns and forecasts. The outcome depends solely on the National Weather Service's official report for that day.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York, on August 11, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), falls within one of six defined temperature ranges. Each market corresponds to a specific range: less than 89°F, between 89°F and 90°F, between 91°F and 92°F, between 93°F and 94°F, between 95°F and 96°F, or greater than 96°F. The National Weather Service's report is the sole authority for resolving the event, and traders must recognize that preliminary data may differ due to rounding or conversion nuances. All markets share identical secondary rules emphasizing reliance on the official NWS report and caution regarding preliminary interpretations.