TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in Newark on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Newark on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$2,583

63° or below

 - Kalshi

63° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

63° or below

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,195
N/A
N/A
$1,161
Settled
Yes
kalshi

64° to 65°

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$753
N/A
N/A
$461
Settled
No
kalshi

68° to 69°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$235
N/A
N/A
$198
Settled
No
kalshi

70° to 71°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
$194
Settled
No
kalshi

66° to 67°

0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$151
N/A
N/A
$145
Settled
No
kalshi

72° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the maximum temperature expected in Newark on October 4, 2026, using data from The Weather Company. Participants assess whether temperatures will fall within specific ranges, helping gauge climate conditions for that day. The outcome depends solely on the official temperature recording from the designated source.

Kalshi

The event determines whether the maximum temperature in Newark on October 4, 2026, falls within one of six specified ranges, each corresponding to a separate market. The Weather Company serves as the sole authority for temperature data, with all markets resolving based on their reported maximum temperature for that day. If preliminary data appears erroneous, the exchange retains discretion to delay resolution until a corrected value is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. Should no data remain available by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. While other weather services may offer similar data, they hold no bearing on resolution, and the "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform does not guarantee immunity from potential corrections. Participants must exercise caution when interpreting preliminary readings due to possible rounding or conversion discrepancies.