TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be met or exceeded in Newark on a particular date in 2026. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate conditions for that day.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded at Newark (CLIEWR) on October 28, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 60° or below, 61-62°, 63-64°, 65-66°, 67-68°, or 69° and above. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The Weather Company's data is the sole authority, even if other sources report different values. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, and the Exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial publication. If no valid data is available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is informational and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential adjustments.