TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event determines whether specific temperature thresholds will be met in Newark on a particular date in 2026. Outcomes depend on official weather data from a designated source, reflecting potential climate conditions for that day.
The event evaluates multiple temperature ranges for Newark on October 27, 2026, using data from The Weather Company as the sole authority. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature band, resolving to Yes if the day’s maximum temperature falls within that range. All markets share consistent secondary rules regarding data interpretation and error handling. Preliminary readings may vary due to rounding or conversion issues, so only finalized reports are binding. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial data release, it may delay resolution until a corrected version is published or until the market’s expiration date. Should no reliable data exist by the expiration, markets resolve based on the last fair price established by the Exchange. The "Final" status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational and does not shield the data from potential revisions under these rules.