TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 8, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 8, 2026?

Volume:
$177,031

72° to 73°

 - Kalshi

72° to 73° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

72° to 73°

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,987
N/A
N/A
$20,720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

74° to 75°

0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,838
N/A
N/A
$28,471
Settled
No
kalshi

76° to 77°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,146
N/A
N/A
$42,115
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or below

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,363
N/A
N/A
$12,350
Settled
No
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,650
N/A
N/A
$10,955
Settled
No
kalshi

80° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,046
N/A
N/A
$1,860
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in New York City on October 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71°F or below, 72°F-73°F, 74°F-75°F, 76°F-77°F, 78°F-79°F, or 80°F and above. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though the exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial report. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data.