TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in New York City on October 8, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 71°F or below, 72°F-73°F, 74°F-75°F, 76°F-77°F, 78°F-79°F, or 80°F and above. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's defined range, that market resolves to Yes, with all others resolving to No. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, though the exchange reserves the right to delay resolution if a material error is identified in the initial report. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. Preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion, so participants should exercise caution when interpreting early data.