TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026?

Volume:
$106,480

62° or below

 - Kalshi

62° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

62° or below

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42,677
N/A
N/A
$20,803
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,244
N/A
N/A
$19,614
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,546
N/A
N/A
$8,462
Settled
No
kalshi

67° to 68°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,267
N/A
N/A
$3,589
Settled
No
kalshi

69° to 70°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,987
N/A
N/A
$1,801
Settled
No
kalshi

71° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,759
N/A
N/A
$1,759
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the maximum temperature expected in New York City on a specific date in the future, allowing participants to assess climate conditions based on authoritative weather data. The outcome hinges solely on the temperature recorded by a designated provider, reflecting real-world interest in precise meteorological predictions.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in New York City on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 62°F or below, 63-64°F, 65-66°F, 67-68°F, 69-70°F, or above 70°F. The official data source is The Weather Company, and any discrepancies or errors in preliminary reports may delay resolution until corrected or until the expiration date. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. Participants should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary data due to potential rounding or conversion differences.