TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 31, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 31, 2026?

Volume:
$150,277

58° or below

 - Kalshi

58° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

58° or below

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,995
N/A
N/A
$24,341
Settled
Yes
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,815
N/A
N/A
$26,008
Settled
No
kalshi

61° to 62°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,344
N/A
N/A
$19,644
Settled
No
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,838
N/A
N/A
$3,784
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,219
N/A
N/A
$2,219
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,065
N/A
N/A
$1,065
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, offering different outcomes based on the exact temperature range achieved. Participants can assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the likelihood of various temperature scenarios.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in New York City on October 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that will resolve to 'Yes' if the recorded temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company’s official reporting serves as the sole source for determining outcomes, with preliminary data subject to potential revisions. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the expiration date, the resolution may be delayed until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date itself. Should no reliable data remain available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price established by Kalshi. The 'Final' status indicated on weather.com/kalshi is strictly informational and does not exempt the data from potential revisions or error corrections under these rules.