TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date, offering different outcomes based on the exact temperature range achieved. Participants can assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict the likelihood of various temperature scenarios.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in New York City on October 31, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that will resolve to 'Yes' if the recorded temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company’s official reporting serves as the sole source for determining outcomes, with preliminary data subject to potential revisions. If a material error is identified in the initial publication before the expiration date, the resolution may be delayed until a corrected value is released or until the expiration date itself. Should no reliable data remain available by the expiration date, all markets will resolve to the last fair price established by Kalshi. The 'Final' status indicated on weather.com/kalshi is strictly informational and does not exempt the data from potential revisions or error corrections under these rules.