TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 21, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 21, 2026?

Volume:
$141,328

61° to 62°

 - Kalshi

61° to 62° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

61° to 62°

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,692
N/A
N/A
$21,346
Settled
Yes
kalshi

63° to 64°

0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,736
N/A
N/A
$25,445
Settled
No
kalshi

65° to 66°

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,460
N/A
N/A
$23,043
Settled
No
kalshi

59° to 60°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,736
N/A
N/A
$16,241
Settled
No
kalshi

67° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,490
N/A
N/A
$7,985
Settled
No
kalshi

58° or below

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,213
N/A
N/A
$1,805
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in New York City on October 21, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six separate outcome ranges are defined, each covering a specific temperature band from 58°F or below up to 67°F or above. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these ranges, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. Preliminary data may be subject to revision, and the exchange retains discretion to delay resolution if material errors are identified in initial reports. If final data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets will resolve at the last fair price determined by the exchange. The status of 'Final' on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee immunity from post-publication corrections.