TOTAL VOLUME:

$143.1b

24H VOL:

$114,515,047

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,676,623,266

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,636,853,979

494,282

Markets across

37,363

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,865

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 16, 2026?
🌟New⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 16, 2026?

Oct 15, 2026, 10:00 AM EST - Oct 17, 2026, 3:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$59,571
Volume 24h:
$52,317N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$41,144
529%

74° or below

 - Kalshi

74° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 17, 2026

Time left: 19h:54m:22s

Will the maximum temperature be <75° on Oct 16, 2026?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

74° or below

Trade
99%
19%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$20,788
897%
N/A
$13,151
19h 54m
active
kalshi

77° to 78°

1%
4%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$9,412
900%
N/A
$7,598
19h 54m
active
kalshi

83° or above

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$981
4%
N/A
$925
19h 54m
active
kalshi

81° to 82°

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$913
17%
N/A
$873
19h 54m
active
kalshi

79° to 80°

1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$913
56%
N/A
$867
19h 54m
active
kalshi

75° to 76°

1%
17%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$26,564
1,282%
N/A
$17,730
19h 54m
active
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in New York City on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range, with one market resolving if the temperature is 74°F or below, another for 75-76°F, and so on, up to the final market resolving if the temperature is 83°F or above. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. If The Weather Company reports a material error in its initial data, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected value is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the data from potential revision under these rules.