TOTAL VOLUME:
$143.1b
24H VOL:
$114,515,047
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,676,623,266
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,636,853,979
494,282
Markets across
37,363
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,865
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
74° or below
- Kalshi
74° or below - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 17, 2026
Time left: 19h:54m:22s
$
This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future. The outcome depends entirely on official weather data from a designated source, making it a straightforward test of actual climatic conditions on that day.
The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in New York City on October 16, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range, with one market resolving if the temperature is 74°F or below, another for 75-76°F, and so on, up to the final market resolving if the temperature is 83°F or above. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. If The Weather Company reports a material error in its initial data, the expiration may be delayed until a corrected value is published or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company's platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt the data from potential revision under these rules.