TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$244,077,041

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,901,278,909

407,043

Markets across

39,548

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,422

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 14, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New York City on Oct 14, 2026?

Volume:
$275,950

77° or below

 - Kalshi

77° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

77° or below

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$83,749
N/A
N/A
$32,769
Settled
Yes
kalshi

78° to 79°

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122,825
N/A
N/A
$97,674
Settled
No
kalshi

80° to 81°

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,815
N/A
N/A
$41,566
Settled
No
kalshi

82° to 83°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,708
N/A
N/A
$5,270
Settled
No
kalshi

84° to 85°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,598
N/A
N/A
$2,598
Settled
No
kalshi

86° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,255
N/A
N/A
$1,255
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future, categorizing outcomes based on exact temperature ranges. Participants can assess climate conditions and historical trends to predict weather scenarios for that day.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in New York City on October 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a separate market that will resolve to 'Yes' if the recorded temperature falls within that range. All markets share identical secondary rules regarding data verification and error handling. The Weather Company’s data is the sole authority, and preliminary readings may differ from final values due to rounding or conversion. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initially published data, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If data remains unavailable by the expiration date, all markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. The 'Final' status on The Weather Company’s platform is informational only and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions under these rules.