TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026?

Volume:
$241,837

79° to 80°

 - Kalshi

79° to 80° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

79° to 80°

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$45,931
N/A
N/A
$19,799
Settled
Yes
kalshi

77° to 78°

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109,403
N/A
N/A
$80,580
Settled
No
kalshi

76° or below

0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50,794
N/A
N/A
$29,925
Settled
No
kalshi

81° to 82°

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,926
N/A
N/A
$24,553
Settled
No
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,294
N/A
N/A
$4,675
Settled
No
kalshi

85° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,489
N/A
N/A
$3,489
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

New York City’s weather on August 21, 2026 will be evaluated through six temperature thresholds, with each range dictating a unique market resolution using official data.

Kalshi

Each market’s outcome is tied to the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) on August 21, 2026, per The Weather Company. The markets are segmented into six ranges: 76° or below, 77° to 78°, 79° to 80°, 81° to 82°, 83° to 84°, and 85° or above. The secondary rule stresses that The Weather Company’s data is the definitive source, despite the existence of other weather services that might be used for reference.