TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 14, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 14, 2026?

Volume:
$160,355

84° or below

 - Kalshi

84° or below - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

84° or below

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$66,268
N/A
N/A
$25,947
Settled
Yes
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,548
N/A
N/A
$29,652
Settled
No
kalshi

87° to 88°

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,672
N/A
N/A
$17,091
Settled
No
kalshi

89° to 90°

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,594
N/A
N/A
$4,771
Settled
No
kalshi

91° to 92°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,253
N/A
N/A
$3,253
Settled
No
kalshi

93° or above

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,019
N/A
N/A
$1,937
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature recorded in New York City on a specific date in the future. It categorizes possible temperature ranges to determine the outcome based on official weather data. The resolution depends solely on the temperature data reported by a designated source.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the maximum temperature recorded in New York City on August 14, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a specific market outcome. If the temperature falls within a particular range, that market resolves to Yes, while all others resolve to No. The official data source is accessible via The Weather Company's website, specifically through the 'Observed Weather' tab for Central Park NY, using the Daily Climate Report. Participants should rely exclusively on this source for resolution, as other weather services may report differing values. The most current data available on or after August 14, 2026, will be used to determine the outcome.