TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 2:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in New Orleans on a particular date in 2026. Outcomes depend on recorded maximum temperatures against predefined ranges, using an official weather data source. Participants assess likelihoods based on historical trends and forecasts.
All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in New Orleans (CLIMSY) on October 4, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: 79°F or below, 80-81°F, 82-83°F, 84-85°F, 86-87°F, or 88°F and above. If the recorded temperature falls within a market's designated range, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The Exchange retains discretion to address material errors in initial data publications, potentially delaying resolution until a corrected value is released or the expiration date arrives. In cases where data remains unavailable by the expiration date, markets resolve to the last fair price determined by the Exchange. Preliminary data may contain rounding or conversion discrepancies, and a "Final" status on The Weather Company's platform does not guarantee error-free reporting.