TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Highest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 10, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New Orleans on Oct 10, 2026?

Volume:
$29,869

81° to 82°

 - Kalshi

81° to 82° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

81° to 82°

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,429
N/A
N/A
$4,911
Settled
Yes
kalshi

83° to 84°

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,108
N/A
N/A
$4,915
Settled
No
kalshi

79° to 80°

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,995
N/A
N/A
$3,240
Settled
No
kalshi

78° or below

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,526
N/A
N/A
$2,207
Settled
No
kalshi

85° to 86°

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,309
N/A
N/A
$1,639
Settled
No
kalshi

87° or above

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,503
N/A
N/A
$1,401
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether specific temperature thresholds will be reached in New Orleans on a particular date in 2026. Outcomes depend on recorded maximum temperatures from an official weather source, reflecting climate conditions and forecasting uncertainties.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the maximum temperature recorded in New Orleans (CLIMSY) on October 10, 2026, as reported by The Weather Company. Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 79°F, 79–80°F, 81–82°F, 83–84°F, 85–86°F, or above 86°F. The official data source is The Weather Company, and while other weather services may provide similar data, they are not used for resolution. Preliminary data may be subject to rounding or conversion differences, so participants should exercise caution. If the Exchange identifies a material error in the initial publication, it may delay expiration until a corrected version is released or until the expiration date, whichever comes first. If no data remains available by the end of this period, all markets will resolve at the last fair price determined by Kalshi. The "Final" status on weather.com/kalshi is for convenience and does not guarantee data accuracy or exempt markets from potential revisions.