TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 28, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in New Orleans on Jul 28, 2026?

Volume:
$13,596

94° to 95°

 - Kalshi

94° to 95° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 2:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

94° to 95°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,589
N/A
N/A
$4,393
Settled
Yes
kalshi

96° to 97°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,943
N/A
N/A
$2,176
Settled
No
kalshi

98° to 99°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,265
N/A
N/A
$1,470
Settled
No
kalshi

93° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$536
N/A
N/A
$473
Settled
No
kalshi

102° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
$157
Settled
No
kalshi

100° to 101°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the highest temperature reached in New Orleans on a specific date in the future, using official government data. Participants assess weather conditions and historical trends to predict temperature ranges, with outcomes determined by verified meteorological reports.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the maximum temperature recorded in New Orleans on July 28, 2026, as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Each market corresponds to a specific temperature range: below 94°F, 94–95°F, 96–97°F, 98–99°F, 100–101°F, or above 101°F. The official data must be accessed via the provided NWS URL, navigating to the 'Observed Weather' tab and selecting 'New Orleans, LA' with the Daily Climate Report. Traders should use the latest available report for the date, recognizing that update frequencies may vary by location. While third-party weather services may offer preliminary guidance, they are not authoritative; only the NWS report determines resolution. Preliminary NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, so caution is advised in interpretation. All markets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, with exactly one resolving to Yes based on where the actual temperature falls within the defined ranges.