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Highest temperature in Munich on June 7?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Munich on June 7?

Volume:
$53,695

24°C

 - Polymarket

24°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 7, 2026

Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

24°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader beliefs about Munich's peak temperature on June 7, often incorporating meteorological models and recent weather patterns faster than traditional analyst forecasts. While weather services like the German Meteorological Institute (Deutscher Wetterdienst) publish deterministic temperature ranges, prediction markets price uncertainty across discrete outcomes. Comparing Polymarket odds to official forecasts reveals whether traders expect temperatures above or below consensus estimates, offering insight into tail-risk pricing and market confidence in the most likely scenario.

The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, after the highest temperature in Munich on June 7 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from a recognized meteorological authority. The outcome is determined by the single highest temperature reading during the calendar day in Munich, measured in degrees Celsius. Once the official figure is published and confirmed, the market settles to the corresponding outcome bracket, and traders receive payouts based on their positions.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems over Central Europe are key catalysts. A sudden warming trend or cold front approaching Munich in early June would shift odds significantly. Real-time weather model updates from major forecasters, changes in solar activity, and anomalies in jet-stream positioning can trigger repricing. Additionally, historical temperature records for early June in Munich and recent climate data may influence trader positioning. As June 7 approaches, daily weather updates and short-range forecasts become increasingly influential on market prices.