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Highest temperature in Munich on June 5?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Munich on June 5?

Volume:
$54,542

19°C

 - Polymarket

19°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

19°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,866
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,895
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,471
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader sentiment and real-money incentives, whereas traditional weather analyst forecasts rely on meteorological models and historical climate data. Analysts typically issue probabilistic forecasts several days in advance; markets update continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust positions. Market-based odds often incorporate broader uncertainty and sentiment factors beyond pure meteorological modeling, making them a complementary but distinct signal for assessing Munich's expected temperature on June 5.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Munich on June 5 is priced as a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific temperature range or threshold. Traders buy and sell shares in outcomes they believe will occur, with prices reflecting the collective probability estimate. The market price of each outcome contract moves based on order flow and liquidity; higher-priced contracts indicate stronger trader conviction. Settlement occurs after the official temperature reading is recorded on June 5, 2026, at midday UTC.

The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. The outcome is determined by the highest temperature officially recorded in Munich on June 5, 2026. Resolution depends on the specific temperature threshold or range defined in the market's outcome criteria. Once the official meteorological data is published and verified, the winning outcome is confirmed and traders' positions settle accordingly. The exact data source and measurement methodology are specified in the market's terms at creation.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal climate anomalies, and updated meteorological forecasts can significantly move odds. Large-scale atmospheric systems such as heat waves, cold fronts, or jet stream positioning over Europe will influence trader expectations. Real-time weather model updates issued by national meteorological services typically drive price adjustments in the days leading up to June 5. Additionally, historical temperature records and long-range climate indices may prompt traders to reassess probabilities as the event date draws closer.