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Highest temperature in Munich on June 26?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Munich on June 26?

Volume:
$97,095

34°C

 - Polymarket

34°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

34°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,470
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,056
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,083
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

41°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,640
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

39°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Munich temperature market dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Munich on June 26. Traders here are pricing their expectations about whether the peak daily temperature will reach specific thresholds. The dashboard displays current odds, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume of $53,749, giving you a live snapshot of how the market is valuing different temperature outcomes. Total volume across this market stands at $97,095, reflecting sustained trader interest in Munich's weather conditions for that date.

Prediction market odds and traditional weather forecasts serve different purposes but often converge on similar temperature ranges. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric models and historical data, traders in this market aggregate dispersed information through price signals. When analyst forecasts and market odds diverge significantly, it may signal either new data entering the market or differences in how uncertainty is priced. Comparing the two can reveal whether traders are more bullish or bearish on extreme temperatures than official forecasts suggest, offering a complementary perspective on June 26's weather outlook.

This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once June 26 has passed and the actual highest temperature in Munich can be verified. The outcome is determined by comparing the recorded peak temperature against the threshold specified in each contract. Resolution relies on credible public weather data sources to confirm the final figure. Once the event is verifiable from official reporting, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on which outcomes occurred.

Several factors could shift odds before the market closes. Updated seasonal forecasts or changes in atmospheric patterns leading into late June may prompt traders to reassess temperature probabilities. Major weather systems, heat waves, or unusual jet stream positioning could trigger significant repricing. Real-time meteorological alerts and model updates in the days immediately before June 26 often drive the most volatile trading. Additionally, historical temperature records for Munich in late June serve as reference points that traders monitor, and any shift in consensus among forecasters can quickly ripple through market prices.