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Highest temperature in Munich on June 12?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Munich on June 12?

Volume:
$140,926

17°C

 - Polymarket

17°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

17°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,877
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,765
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

10°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,981
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

9°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader expectations, which often incorporate meteorological forecasts, historical climate patterns, and real-time atmospheric data. Professional weather analysts and climate models typically publish seasonal or short-term temperature predictions for Munich independently. Comparing Polymarket odds to published forecasts from sources like the German Weather Service or Copernicus Climate Data can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic scenarios than official models suggest. Market prices tend to update faster than traditional forecasts when new data arrives.

The market resolves on Jun 12, 2026, after the highest temperature in Munich on June 12 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official meteorological data for that specific date. Once the actual maximum temperature is confirmed, the outcome is determined and all positions settle accordingly. Traders should monitor weather station reports and official sources as the date approaches to understand how the final temperature will be measured and reported.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and atmospheric pressure systems over Europe can significantly move odds. Tropical air masses, heat waves, or cold fronts approaching Central Europe in early June would trigger rapid repricing. Real-time weather model updates from institutions like ECMWF or DWF often cause sharp trader reactions. Historical temperature records for Munich in mid-June provide baseline expectations that traders reference. As June 12 approaches, daily forecast refinements and actual observed temperatures in the preceding days will increasingly influence market prices toward the resolution outcome.