TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Highest temperature in Munich on June 1?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Munich on June 1?

Volume:
$86,842

23°C

 - Polymarket

23°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

23°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,790
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,433
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket can be compared against meteorological forecasts and analyst predictions from weather services and climate models. Traders on prediction markets often incorporate professional forecasts, but may diverge based on market sentiment, historical volatility, and real-time data updates. Weather analysts typically issue deterministic or probabilistic forecasts days or weeks in advance, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs continuously. Comparing the two reveals whether markets are pricing in more optimism or pessimism about Munich's June 1 temperature than official forecasters, and can highlight emerging consensus or disagreement.

On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Munich on June 1 is priced as a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific temperature range or exact value. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares in each outcome, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. The price of each contract moves based on order flow, new information, and changing expectations about Munich's weather. Polymarket uses an automated market maker or order-book model to determine contract prices, allowing traders to enter or exit positions continuously until the market resolves on Jun 1, 2026.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after June 1 has concluded. The outcome is determined by the highest temperature officially recorded in Munich on that date. Resolution relies on verified meteorological data from an authoritative weather station or official source in Munich. Once the final temperature is confirmed and reported, the market settles to the outcome contract that matches the recorded high, and traders' positions are paid out accordingly. The exact data source and measurement methodology are specified in the market's resolution criteria.

Weather forecasts updated by meteorological agencies will be the primary driver of price movement. Major weather pattern shifts—such as the arrival of a heat wave, cold front, or storm system—can significantly alter trader expectations. Seasonal climate anomalies, atmospheric pressure systems, and ocean temperature patterns influence Munich's June weather. Real-time atmospheric data, satellite imagery, and model consensus updates will prompt traders to adjust positions. As June 1 approaches, intraday forecasts become more precise, typically causing sharper price movements. Historical temperature records for that date and recent regional temperature trends may also influence trader sentiment and market pricing.