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Highest temperature in Moscow on June 13?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Moscow on June 13?

Volume:
$56,325

29°C

 - Polymarket

29°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

29°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,583
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,576
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in Moscow on June 13 dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and price movements for this weather event. You can monitor the current implied probability of temperature outcomes, 24-hour trading volume of $40,261, and historical price charts showing how market sentiment has evolved. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the collective forecast of the prediction market community for Moscow's peak temperature on that specific date.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Highest temperature in Moscow on June 13 is priced through outcome shares that traders can buy or sell. Each temperature outcome or range is represented as a separate contract, and the price of each share reflects the market's implied probability. As traders adjust their positions based on weather models, seasonal patterns, and real-time atmospheric data, prices move continuously, with higher-priced outcomes indicating stronger collective confidence in those temperature ranges occurring.

The Highest temperature in Moscow on June 13 market resolves on Jun 13, 2026, after the day has concluded and the actual peak temperature is recorded. Resolution is determined by official meteorological data from Moscow's primary weather station or designated reference source. Once the final temperature is confirmed, the market settles to the outcome that matches the recorded high, and traders holding winning shares receive their payout based on the contract terms.

Several factors can shift odds for Moscow's June 13 high temperature. Updated weather model runs, particularly from major forecasting centers, often trigger significant repricing as confidence in specific temperature ranges changes. Seasonal anomalies, atmospheric pressure systems, and jet stream positioning can alter expectations. Real-time observations in early June will refine forecasts, and any unusual climate patterns or heat waves affecting Eastern Europe may push traders to adjust their positions, causing market prices to move substantially closer to resolution.